Short!  What is a Short?

     
 
 

It is time to short your way into winning trades!
 

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This is not Amateur Hour!  There are retail traders and professional traders.  If you are reading this and you do not already familiar with the terms, “short,” “shorting”, “shorting the market,” etc., you are a retail trader.  I suppose you would go right over to your local car dealer and just pay the retail MSRP for the car after looking at the sticker.  Well, there is a sucker born every day.  You do not want to be the sucker!  And, I don’t think you are a sucker… because  you are wise enough to be reading this! 

Non-amateur traders use Shorting more often than buying!  Why?  Because, shorts occur quicker!  Look at a day when the Dow trades 300+ points in the red.  Do you believe that is because a lot of folks just got scared and sold a bunch of their stock?  No!  It was because a bunch of savvy professional traders decided it was ‘time” to catch all the retail buyers with their pants at their knees!

YOU DO NOT HAVE TO OWN STOCK TO SELL IT!  JUST SELL IT…
WHEN YOU THINK THE MARKET IS GOING TO SELL!

Non-amateur traders use Shorting more often than buying! As stated earlier in this treatise, I started trading stock "because that was what everybody was doing in 1998. The first thing I learned at becoming an active trading was the benefits of shorting.  But shorting in stocks was difficult at that time because of the "uptick rule," now since removed.  However, there was no such rule in futures trading, so I migrated away from stock trading toward a career in futures starting in 2002.  I have never been motivated to return for many reasons, which are scattered around this story. I am a speculator and do speculate on the COSMIC, commodities, options, stock index futures, metals, interest rate derivatives and currency futures.

Below is a "paraphrased" section out of Investopedia, the internet's main source of credible information on the financial markets. I "may" have taken some liberty to remove the dryness out of the formal text, but the meaning remains. The discussion borrowed from other sources on the net is provided here for one reason, to help the novice interested in the financial markets to get their arms around the concept of shorting to remove the mystery of the idea.  Shorting is difficult for some people to understand, but one must clearly understand and apply the concept in order to successfully operate in the financial markets.

 
By Brigitte Yuille 

Generally, the two main reasons to short are to either speculate or to hedge.

Speculate
When you speculate, you are watching for fluctuations in the market in order to quickly make a big profit off of a high-risk investment. Speculation has been perceived negatively because it has been likened to gambling. However, speculation involves a calculated assessment of the markets and taking risks where the odds appear to be in your favor. Speculating differs from hedging because speculators deliberately assume risk, whereas hedgers seek to mitigate or reduce it. (For more insight, see What is the difference between hedging and speculation?)

Speculators can assume a high loss if they use the wrong strategies at the wrong time, but they can also see high rewards. Probably the most famous example of this was when George Soros "broke the Bank of England" in 1992. He risked $10 billion that the British pound would fall and he was right. The following night, Soros made $1 billion from the trade. His profit eventually reached almost $2 billion. (For more on this trade, see The Greatest Currency Trades Ever Made.)

Speculators can benefit the market because they increase trading volume, assume risk and add market liquidity. However, high amounts of speculative purchases can contribute to an economic bubble and/or a stock market crash. 

Hedge
For reasons we'll discuss later, very few sophisticated money managers short as an active investing strategy (unlike Soros). The majority of investors use shorts to hedge. This means they are protecting other long positions with offsetting short positions. 

Hedging can be a benefit because you're insuring your stock against risk, but it can also be expensive and a basis risk can occur. (To learn more about hedging, read A Beginner's Guide To Hedging.) 

Restrictions
Many restrictions have been placed on the size, price and types of stocks traders are able to short sell. For example, penny stocks cannot be sold short, and most short sales need to be done in round lots. The Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) has these restrictions in place to prevent the manipulation of stock prices. 

As of January 2005, short sellers were also required to comply with the rules set in place by "Regulation SHO", which modernized the rules overseeing short selling and aimed to provide safeguards against "naked short selling." For instance, sellers had needed to show that they could locate and get the securities they intended to short. The regulation also created a list of securities showing a high level of persistent sales to deliver. 

In July of 2007, the SEC eliminated the uptick, or zero plus tick, rule. This rule required that every short sale transaction be entered at a higher price than that of the previous trade and kept short sellers from adding to the downward momentum of an asset when it was already experiencing sharp declines. The rule has been around since the creation of the SEC in 1934. One of the reasons it was put in place was to slow rapid and sudden declines in share prices that can occur as a result of short selling. 

In July of 2008, the SEC used its emergency powers to put an end to market manipulations, such as spreading negative rumors about a company's performance and sharp price declines. The markets had been volatile as a result of the of mortgage and credit crisis, and the SEC wanted to establish a renewed confidence. For a month, it didn't allow naked short selling on the stocks of 19 major investment and commercial banks, which included the mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (To learn more, read The Uptick Rule: Does It Keep Bear Markets Ticking?)

The SEC took further measures in September of 2008, once again using its emergency authority to issue six orders to minimize abuses. This included a move to halt short selling in shares of 799 companies in cooperation with the United Kingdom's Financial Service Authority. 170 companies were later included in the ban, which ended after the passage of the $700 billion U.S. bailout plan in October 2008. Another order required short sellers get a sale and immediately close it by making sure the shares were delivered. It later became a rule.

Who Shorts?
Some insiders indicate that it takes a certain type of person to short stocks. 

Many short sellers have been depicted as pessimists who are rooting for a company's failure, but they've also been described as disciplined and confident in their judgment. (To learn more, read Questioning The Virtue Of A Short Sale.)
 

Taken from Investing for Beginners:

The Basics of Shorting Stock

The Basics of Shorting Stock

I own 10 shares of company ABC at $50 per share. You believe the stock price of ABC is grossly overvalued and is going to crash sometime soon. You are so convinced that the stock will crash, you come to me, and ask to borrow my ten shares of ABC and sell them at the current market price for $50. I agree to lend you my shares as long as you pay me back ten shares of ABC at some point in the future. You take the ten borrowed shares, sell them for $500 and pocket the money (10 shares x $50 per share = $500).

The following week, the price of ABC stock falls to $20 per share. You call your broker and tell him to buy 10 shares of ABC stock, at the new price of $20 per share. You pay him the $200 (10 shares x $20 per share = $200). A few days later, you pick up the shares of ABC and bring them by my office. "Here are the ten shares I borrowed," you say as you put them on my desk.

Do you see what happened? You borrowed my shares of ABC, sold them for $500. The following week, when ABC fell to $20 per share, you repurchased those ten shares for $200 and gave them back to me. In the mean time, you pocketed the difference of $300.

The Speculative Nature of Shorting Stock

What if the price of ABC stock had risen? The person shorting stock would have had to buy back the shares at the new, higher price, and absorb the loss personally. Unlike regular investing where your losses are limited to the amount of capital you invest (e.g., if you invest $100, you cannot lose more than the $100), shorting stock has no limit to the amount you might ultimately lose. Famed investor Ben Graham told us there is nothing stopping an overpriced stock from becoming more overpriced. In the unlikely event the stock had shot up to $1,000 (which actually happened to shares of Northern Pacific during a short squeeze in 1902), you would have had to purchase ten shares at $1,000 a share for $10,000. Taking into account the $500 you received from selling the shares earlier, you would have lost $9,500 on a $500 investment.

Some investors practice shorting stock as a hedge to protect their portfolio. In most cases, this is not required nor recommended for individual or institutional investors. If you have selected a company you believe has excellent prospects for the next decade, you should view a declining market as an opportunity to purchase more of a good thing, not something to be dreaded.

COMMENTARY:

Try to avoid allowing above warnings about shorting in the financial markets from scaring you away from the concept. 

Active traders use another practice to protect their their trades called the, stop!

Protective stops are applied to avoid allowing a short or a long from going against your trade further than your personal risk tolerance. This is one more reason that I use NinjaTrader as my trading tool. 

Every trade entered contains a standing limit order to buy or sell accompanied with two contingent exit orders:

When I am selling, there are two contingent buy orders accompanying my entry order:

      1.  Buy order below market at target near end of expected move during chosen timeframe.

      2.  Buy order above market at very carefully analyzed protective stop.

Now, the beauty of these complex orders is that they are devised through the use of artificial intelligence as applied by software engineering through the use of a "smart" expert system that knows when one leg of the contingent order is executed, that the remaining order is IMMEDIATELY cancelled.  This immediate cancellation protects the trader from that "hanging" leg from getting "surprise" executed during an untimely moment when the market moves to the price in the future where that 2nd leg was placed.

 

       

 

RISK Disclosure:  Keep this in mind: Commodities, options, stock index futures, metals, interest rate derivatives and currency futures [COSMIC] trading is high risk.  Prior positive results are no indication of future results.  Consult your own financial advisor before getting involved in futures with real money.  We provide education, not trading advice.  We expect viewers to develop and practice their skill on a trading simulator platform. That is why we encourage everyone to try the www.NinjaTrader.com supported by www.MirusFutures.com.    

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